Steve Believes: Week 11, 2018 NFL Season

  • Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks. This is the seventh meeting between these two teams in the Russell Wilson era, but the first meeting at CenturyLink Field since that unforgettable 2014-15 NFC Championship Game. No road team has won either of the past six meetings. Make it seven, because I expect the Seahawks to break through after suffering two consecutive heartbreaking losses against both of the L.A. teams.
  • Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons. The Cowboys return to the scene of the crime, where Dak Prescott suffered eight sacks in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium during Week 10 of last season. However, Tyron Smith was out for that game and Adrian Clayborn won’t be moonlighting for the Falcons during the New England Patriots’ bye week. The Cowboys got their first road win of the year last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. However, the margin of victory in that game was only seven points. All seemed right for the Falcons, following a three-game winning streak. But then Nick Chubb happened, as he rushed for 146 yards, with 92 of them coming on one carry for a touchdown. Look for Ezekiel Elliott to put up similar yardage numbers against the Falcons and look for the Cowboys to get redemption in The ATL.
  • Carolina Panthers vs. Detroit Lions. Other than Julius Peppers and Christian McCaffrey, the Panthers were a train wreck last week against the Pittsburgh Steelers. As for the Lions, they have been more of a train wreck, as they have lost three in a row following their Week 7 beatdown of the Miami Dolphins. Make it four in a row, because I like the Panthers’ ability to bounce back this week.
  • Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts. Mike Vrabel’s bunch authored one of the most notable upsets this season, as they throttled the New England Patriots 34-10 last week. As for the Colts, they have won three in a row, following a 1-5 start. While a letdown could abound this week for the Titans, I just don’t see the Colts matching up against their physicality. So with that being said, I like the Titans to make it three in a row.
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants. The Buccaneers’ 2-0 start seems like a distant memory, as they have lost six of their past seven going back to Week 3. As for the Giants, their goal of winning eight games in a row started off on the right foot with a comeback victory the San Francisco 49ers last week. Look for Big Blue to build off of that win with another this week.
  • Houston Texans vs. Washington Redskins. The Texans are looking like the class of the AFC South this season, as they have won six in a row following their 0-3 start. As for the Redskins, their defense has played a big role in their 6-3 record. However, their offense still leaves a lot to be desired. Despite the fact that they’re at home, I don’t like the Redskins’ chances against a J.J. Watt-led team coming off a bye. So with that being said, I like the Texans to make it seven in a row.
  • Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars. After a 1-2-1 start to open the season, the Steelers have been one of the hottest teams since, as they have won five in a row. However, they face a team that’s been their kryptonite of late, as the Jaguars beat them twice last season. Look for the Jaguars to come out with a sense of urgency to pull off the upset against their former division opponent.
  • Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens. Earlier this season, both of these teams played as if they were going to overtake the Steelers in the AFC North. However, they have both faltered of late, whereas the six-time Super Bowl champions have flourished. The Bengals are coming off a 51-14 blowout loss against the scorching New Orleans Saints, while the Ravens come off a bye week following a three-game losing streak. Look for the Bengals to play much better, but still fall short in this one.
  • Oakland Raiders vs. Arizona Cardinals. Hands down, the worst team in football is the Raiders, for its boneheaded trade of Khalil Mack and winning against the Browns in a game that they should have lost. The Cardinals aren’t that much better, but they at least hung tough against the Kansas City Chiefs until Justin Houston’s game-changing fourth quarter interception. Given how bad the Raiders have been and given how close some of the Cardinals’ losses have been, I have to go with the Cardinals in this one.
  • Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers. The Broncos are coming off a bye week at 3-6. However, they could be 6-3 right now, as four of their six losses have been by seven points or less. As for the Chargers, they are hands down the best team who doesn’t lead a division, as they are 7-2 right now. However, it will be 7-3, because I expect the Broncos to break through following their bye week.
  • Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints. This matchup is one of the top games of Week 11, as the Super Bowl champs and the hottest team in the league meet up. For the Eagles, all five of their losses have been decided by seven points or less, including last week’s loss against the Cowboys. As for the Saints, they have been breathing down the necks of the Los Angeles Rams since Week 2 and own the head-to-head tiebreaker against them. This is the type of game that I could see the Eagles turn their season around with. However, I just can’t go against Drew Brees & Company right now. Especially with this game being played in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. So with that being said, I like the Saints in this one.
  • Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears. Flex scheduling goes into effect for the second time this season, with this matchup replacing the Steelers-Jaguars game as the Al Michaels-Cris Collinsworth game. And for good reason, as these two teams are separated by a game for first place in the NFC North. The Vikings rebounded from their loss against the Saints with a 24-9 win against the Lions, in which their defense dominated with 10 sacks, a defensive touchdown and 209 total net yards allowed. As for the Bears, they are on a three-game winning streak following two back-to-back puzzling losses against both the Miami Dolphins and Patriots. The Bears have been increasingly better since the acquisition of Khalil Mack, who returned last week and registered two sacks. Look for Mack to attack the Vikings’ offensive line issues and look for the Bears to win at the buzzer, 23-20.
  • Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Rams. Last week’s Monday Night matchup featured two teams with a combined three wins. However, that’s not the case this week, as both these teams come in with a combined 18 wins. The Chiefs are close to equaling their win total from all of last season, as they have won nine games already. As for the Rams, they have had a couple close calls in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, with narrow victories against both the Packers and Seahawks. And if they play that way against the Chiefs, then there won’t be a narrow victory this time around. I think that will indeed happen. Chiefs to equal their win total from all of last season.